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pretty bad for Google. <15B active confirmed?
then again V3.2 is so slow that this 40% token overhead still allows Flash to run circles around it. We need V3.2 on Blackwells at least, for a fair comparison

pretty bad for Google. <15B active confirmed? then again V3.2 is so slow that this 40% token overhead still allows Flash to run circles around it. We need V3.2 on Blackwells at least, for a fair comparison

We're in a race. It's not USA vs China but humans and AGIs vs ape power centralization. @deepseek_ai stan #1, 2023–Deep Time «C’est la guerre.» ®1

avatar for Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)
Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)
Thu Dec 18 00:50:21
there's 1000% an Opus 4.5 serving degradation going on and it would be nice if @AnthropicAI would actually disclose it in their status like any other degradation would be

there's 1000% an Opus 4.5 serving degradation going on and it would be nice if @AnthropicAI would actually disclose it in their status like any other degradation would be

the distribution is anything but normal

avatar for snwy
snwy
Thu Dec 18 00:50:06
I think this argument needs to be put to bed.

Multiple projects are fine AS LONG AS THEY SERVE SIMILAR CUSTOMERS and there are obvious "cross sell" opportunities.

The real issue is "grass is greener" mentality where you hop from B2C health app to B2B marketing saas every other week.

I think this argument needs to be put to bed. Multiple projects are fine AS LONG AS THEY SERVE SIMILAR CUSTOMERS and there are obvious "cross sell" opportunities. The real issue is "grass is greener" mentality where you hop from B2C health app to B2B marketing saas every other week.

https://t.co/zSf5Z2H78P https://t.co/ryMAyS77qn https://t.co/Gm6gdHaLgp On a mission to inspire 1B people to build stuff!

avatar for Pat Walls
Pat Walls
Thu Dec 18 00:47:32
Almost no one is talking about ChatGPT Apps, but if this works it could be the first big new consumer distribution platform since…mobile. 

With 800-900M WAUs and increasing daily time per user, ChatGPT has an immense user base to push new apps to. 

…on the other hand, my #1 concern is that there isn’t enough “space” within ChatGPT to support first class independent product experiences. Some of the early tests (ex. Photoshop in ChatGPT) would support this. 

I hope they get it right, and am very interested to see the launch next year!

Almost no one is talking about ChatGPT Apps, but if this works it could be the first big new consumer distribution platform since…mobile. With 800-900M WAUs and increasing daily time per user, ChatGPT has an immense user base to push new apps to. …on the other hand, my #1 concern is that there isn’t enough “space” within ChatGPT to support first class independent product experiences. Some of the early tests (ex. Photoshop in ChatGPT) would support this. I hope they get it right, and am very interested to see the launch next year!

Partner @a16z and twin to @venturetwins | Investor in @gammaapp, @happyrobot_ai, @krea_ai, @tomaauto, @partiful, Salient, @scribenoteinc & more

avatar for Olivia Moore
Olivia Moore
Thu Dec 18 00:36:43
been watching this thing play out from afar and I don't really have a strong opinion or a dog in this race but one observation I have is that people really underestimate how hard it is to do an RCT

been watching this thing play out from afar and I don't really have a strong opinion or a dog in this race but one observation I have is that people really underestimate how hard it is to do an RCT

particularly one which would involve randomly assigning how parents parent their children

avatar for Colin Fraser
Colin Fraser
Thu Dec 18 00:34:55
Making $100K/month won’t magically make you happy.

I didn’t believe this either until I actually sat down and did the math.

Here’s a simple way I think about "enough" now:

The 25% + $100K rule

There are really only two buckets of spending.

Bucket 1: Non-negotiables (~25%)
Housing, utilities, groceries, car, childcare, dog that keeps going to the vet.
If this is ~25% of your income, life feels easy.
Bills aren’t stressful. You live somewhere nice. Nothing feels tight.

Bucket 2: Flex spending (~$100K/year)
Travel, eating out, hobbies, random fun stuff.
Even being generous, it’s surprisingly hard to spend more than this consistently if you’re building something and working a lot.

Once those two are covered, the rest just goes to savings and investments.
So the math looks like this (post-tax):

> $200K/year → ~$50K saved
> $300K/year → ~$125K saved
> $500K/year → ~$275K saved

The sweet spot is maybe around $300K/year household post-tax.
You’re saving $100K+ every year without stressing… and over a career compounding in the S&P, that’s more money than you’ll ever realistically need.

This isn’t financial advice.
And this definitely isn’t saying “stop building.”

Just a reminder that once you have enough, more usually adds stress, not happiness.

Also: you’re not behind if you’re nowhere near these numbers. Keep going.

Making $100K/month won’t magically make you happy. I didn’t believe this either until I actually sat down and did the math. Here’s a simple way I think about "enough" now: The 25% + $100K rule There are really only two buckets of spending. Bucket 1: Non-negotiables (~25%) Housing, utilities, groceries, car, childcare, dog that keeps going to the vet. If this is ~25% of your income, life feels easy. Bills aren’t stressful. You live somewhere nice. Nothing feels tight. Bucket 2: Flex spending (~$100K/year) Travel, eating out, hobbies, random fun stuff. Even being generous, it’s surprisingly hard to spend more than this consistently if you’re building something and working a lot. Once those two are covered, the rest just goes to savings and investments. So the math looks like this (post-tax): > $200K/year → ~$50K saved > $300K/year → ~$125K saved > $500K/year → ~$275K saved The sweet spot is maybe around $300K/year household post-tax. You’re saving $100K+ every year without stressing… and over a career compounding in the S&P, that’s more money than you’ll ever realistically need. This isn’t financial advice. And this definitely isn’t saying “stop building.” Just a reminder that once you have enough, more usually adds stress, not happiness. Also: you’re not behind if you’re nowhere near these numbers. Keep going.

https://t.co/zSf5Z2H78P https://t.co/ryMAyS77qn https://t.co/Gm6gdHaLgp On a mission to inspire 1B people to build stuff!

avatar for Pat Walls
Pat Walls
Thu Dec 18 00:32:27
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