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putting my bet out there that it’s a thing either somehow related to linear attention or possibly speculative decoding
inference bugs w/rt to these two things can get so ugly IME
A proper security-minded autocrat who shared Lesswrongian intuitions would have put a lid on this around R1 already. Facts are in, trajectory is pretty clear. What we see is that the CCP simply believes they can remain in control even if capabilities are broadly available.
We're in a race. It's not USA vs China but humans and AGIs vs ape power centralization. @deepseek_ai stan #1, 2023–Deep Time «C’est la guerre.» ®1
Let's assume this is true. But we already have systems that can compound on themselves. They can design their own training environments. Any chump can take V3.2 and run RL for 3x, 5x longer. It's pretty close to closed loop. At what point does Xi say "nah bruv that's AGI, stop"?
A proper security-minded autocrat who shared Lesswrongian intuitions would have put a lid on this around R1 already. Facts are in, trajectory is pretty clear. What we see is that the CCP simply believes they can remain in control even if capabilities are broadly available.
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