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Why are value and macro investors so comfortable making highly confident prognostications about AI despite their manifest ignorance?

I don't recall many tech/growth investors penning long, bearish, highly confident and utterly ignorant analyses about energy in 2022/2023.

Why are value and macro investors so comfortable making highly confident prognostications about AI despite their manifest ignorance? I don't recall many tech/growth investors penning long, bearish, highly confident and utterly ignorant analyses about energy in 2022/2023.

Managing Partner & CIO, @atreidesmgmt. Husband, @l3eckyy. No investment advice, views my own. https://t.co/pFe9KmNu9U

avatar for Gavin Baker
Gavin Baker
Wed Nov 12 18:47:20
Someone should look into what happened after SoftBank sold their entire 4.9% stake in Nvidia in 2019.

Someone should look into what happened after SoftBank sold their entire 4.9% stake in Nvidia in 2019.

Managing Partner & CIO, @atreidesmgmt. Husband, @l3eckyy. No investment advice, views my own. https://t.co/pFe9KmNu9U

avatar for Gavin Baker
Gavin Baker
Tue Nov 11 20:46:33
Someone should look into what happened after SoftBank sold their entire 4.9% stake in Nvidia in 2019.

Someone should look into what happened after SoftBank sold their entire 4.9% stake in Nvidia in 2019.

Managing Partner & CIO, @atreidesmgmt. Husband, @l3eckyy. No investment advice, views my own. https://t.co/pFe9KmNu9U

avatar for Gavin Baker
Gavin Baker
Tue Nov 11 20:46:33
We need a moratorium on OpenAI public appearances and press releases to stabilize the market.

We need a moratorium on OpenAI public appearances and press releases to stabilize the market.

Managing Partner & CIO, @atreidesmgmt. Husband, @l3eckyy. No investment advice, views my own. https://t.co/pFe9KmNu9U

avatar for Gavin Baker
Gavin Baker
Thu Nov 06 18:09:18
Wait until he meets actual shorts.

Wait until he meets actual shorts.

Managing Partner & CIO, @atreidesmgmt. Husband, @l3eckyy. No investment advice, views my own. https://t.co/pFe9KmNu9U

avatar for Gavin Baker
Gavin Baker
Sun Nov 02 21:05:01
Really fun to do this fireside chat with my good friend @DavidGeorge83 who has an exceptional track record.

Dark fiber during the telecom bubble vs. melting GPUs today.

Grateful to David and the @a16z team for inviting me. 
https://t.co/doDCpziRX8

Really fun to do this fireside chat with my good friend @DavidGeorge83 who has an exceptional track record. Dark fiber during the telecom bubble vs. melting GPUs today. Grateful to David and the @a16z team for inviting me. https://t.co/doDCpziRX8

Managing Partner & CIO, @atreidesmgmt. Husband, @l3eckyy. No investment advice, views my own. https://t.co/pFe9KmNu9U

avatar for Gavin Baker
Gavin Baker
Fri Oct 31 12:24:27
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