Leopold's having fun, so here's my AI Safety twink portfolio. Total 1-year return: +892%. Criteria: Product advances human civilisation + good team. 50% Oklo (+1700%) 45% Tesla (+87%) 5% Nvidia (+55%)
I like using resources to bet on those making good moves in civilisation-level exponentials. It's easy alpha bc no one rly does it, but if you grasp how to build civilisations+how good teams work, then other factors are rounding errors in the long run.
~90% of my nw is early AI startup equity. Money is in public deeptech hardware stocks. I never touch FAANG. Also buying some space stocks (ASTS/RKLB), but none are as vertically integrated as I'd like ... yet. I spend ~3 days/year calibrating this strategy
ASTS and RKLB are up 100% (?) it's prolly a bubble. Anyway, positions: 40% Oklo - sold half letting the rest ride. assume this doesn't exist lol. 15% Rocketlab 10% Palantir puts 10% Tesla 10% Intel 10% Ehang ~5% ASTS and Worldcoin Looking for Chinese aviation and US AI infra
I don't feel like being super concentrated in any of these bc they're all overvalued except maybe Intel lol. Oklo looked way better when it was 1/30th price hahaha.
Oh, i forgot, 3% applied materials (MP). It's the only position of mine that's not a tech company, but I just figured the entire supply chain was being bought up and China was being sussy baka + I traded it in 2021 alongside NMM, Gamestop and Palantir. Anyway, up 30% so far.
oklo has a gap down at 80-110. decent accumulation zone is 50s-80s and lower, which we may or may not see bc it's got more contracts since that time. until then i'm just farming selling calls on my shares, and @zephyr_z9 has had some good picks lately.