Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 CANADA VERY HIGH (no change) Estimated infections this week: 363,700-471,200 About 1 in every 61 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~11X higher -Long COVID ~12X higher -Hospitalizations ~14X higher -Deaths ~14X higher
Prévisions régionales sur la COVID-19 se trouvent ici :
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR HIGH (no change) Estimated infections this week: 3,900-5,000 About 1 in every 77 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~7X higher -Long COVID ~11X higher -Hospitalizations ~9X higher -Deaths ~9X higher
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND HIGH (no change) Estimated infections this week: 1,300-1,700 About 1 in every 73 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~8X higher -Long COVID ~10X higher -Hospitalizations ~9X higher -Deaths ~10X higher
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 NOVA SCOTIA HIGH (no change) Estimated infections this week: 7,750-10,050 About 1 in every 75 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~8X higher -Long COVID ~11X higher -Hospitalizations ~10X higher -Deaths ~10X higher
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 NEW BRUNSWICK HIGH (no change) Estimated infections this week: 5,850-7,600 About 1 in every 78 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~7X higher -Long COVID ~11X higher -Hospitalizations ~10X higher -Deaths ~10X higher
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 QUÉBEC VERY HIGH (no change) Estimated infections this week: 84,050-108,950 About 1 in every 58 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~12X higher -Long COVID ~11X higher -Hospitalizations ~14X higher -Deaths ~14X higher
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 ONTARIO SEVERE (no change) Estimated infections this week: 160,900-208,500 About 1 in every 53 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~14X higher -Long COVID ~12X higher -Hospitalizations ~18X higher -Deaths ~19X higher
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 MANITOBA VERY HIGH (decreasing) Estimated infections this week: 12,200-15,800 About 1 in every 62 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~10X higher -Long COVID ~12X higher -Hospitalizations ~12X higher -Deaths ~15X higher
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 SASKATCHEWAN SEVERE (no change) Estimated infections this week: 12,650-16,400 About 1 in every 52 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~13X higher -Long COVID ~13X higher -Hospitalizations ~17X higher -Deaths ~16X higher
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 ALBERTA VERY HIGH (no change) Estimated infections this week: 36,300-47,050 About 1 in every 70 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~9X higher -Long COVID ~12X higher -Hospitalizations ~12X higher -Deaths ~14X higher
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 BRITISH COLUMBIA HIGH (no change) Estimated infections this week: 37,900-49,100 About 1 in every 81 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~7X higher -Long COVID ~11X higher -Hospitalizations ~9X higher -Deaths ~9X higher
Canadian COVID Forecast Jan 18-31, 2025 NUNAVUT, NWT, YUKON VERY HIGH (no change) Estimated infections this week: 900-1,100 About 1 in every 70 people infected Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada: -Infections ~10X higher -Long COVID ~12X higher -Hospitalizations ~13X higher -Deaths ~14X higher
The national overview for the Canadian COVID forecast can be found here:
For links to resources, explanations of the forecast methods, and past forecasts, please see our pinned 🧵 here:
Remember, the forecast reflects not only recent input data, but also numbers expected for the next 2 weeks, based on 5-week average trends. The next forecast will be February 3rd, 2025. Thanks to @netgaines @CircaLiz @BattlingBeaver @truthseeker_dl @allenescott for data input, graphics, and translation. Thanks to the whole @covid_19_canada team for weekly feedback and for keeping all our work going. #TogetherWeCan
@netgaines @CircaLiz @BattlingBeaver @truthseeker_dl