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Will AI’s payoff eventually be bigger than all the money currently being poured into it?
No doubt.
How many of the current bets will pay off?
Very few.

Will AI’s payoff eventually be bigger than all the money currently being poured into it? No doubt. How many of the current bets will pay off? Very few.

Professor of computer science at UW and author of '2040' and 'The Master Algorithm'. Into machine learning, AI, and anything that makes me curious.

avatar for Pedro Domingos
Pedro Domingos
Fri Nov 14 07:10:12
Be very suspicious of complex machine learning code. The whole point of machine learning is that complexity comes from the data.

Be very suspicious of complex machine learning code. The whole point of machine learning is that complexity comes from the data.

Professor of computer science at UW and author of '2040' and 'The Master Algorithm'. Into machine learning, AI, and anything that makes me curious.

avatar for Pedro Domingos
Pedro Domingos
Fri Nov 14 07:02:29
No, Senator, AI regulation won't stop cyberattacks, it'll make systems more rigid and vulnerable to them.

No, Senator, AI regulation won't stop cyberattacks, it'll make systems more rigid and vulnerable to them.

Professor of computer science at UW and author of '2040' and 'The Master Algorithm'. Into machine learning, AI, and anything that makes me curious.

avatar for Pedro Domingos
Pedro Domingos
Fri Nov 14 04:18:38
Imagine learning to play a video game by looking at nothing but the final score. That's RL for you. Now imagine training a large reasoning model the same way - it's beyond wasteful. But that's what the "frontier labs" are pouring billions into.

Imagine learning to play a video game by looking at nothing but the final score. That's RL for you. Now imagine training a large reasoning model the same way - it's beyond wasteful. But that's what the "frontier labs" are pouring billions into.

Professor of computer science at UW and author of '2040' and 'The Master Algorithm'. Into machine learning, AI, and anything that makes me curious.

avatar for Pedro Domingos
Pedro Domingos
Fri Nov 14 04:15:31
People, in their infinite plasticity, will soon start to sound like chatbots even when not using them.

People, in their infinite plasticity, will soon start to sound like chatbots even when not using them.

Professor of computer science at UW and author of '2040' and 'The Master Algorithm'. Into machine learning, AI, and anything that makes me curious.

avatar for Pedro Domingos
Pedro Domingos
Fri Nov 14 01:16:37
The most efficient way to train a ranker is to scroll through a ton of clickbait and click on the first good thing you see.

The most efficient way to train a ranker is to scroll through a ton of clickbait and click on the first good thing you see.

Professor of computer science at UW and author of '2040' and 'The Master Algorithm'. Into machine learning, AI, and anything that makes me curious.

avatar for Pedro Domingos
Pedro Domingos
Thu Nov 13 22:12:37
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